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1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina

1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina

← 1944 November 2, 1948[1] 1952 →

All 14 North Carolina votes to the Electoral College
 
Nominee Harry S. Truman Thomas E. Dewey Strom Thurmond
Party Democratic Republican States’ Rights
Home state Missouri New York South Carolina
Running mate Alben W. Barkley Earl Warren Fielding L. Wright
Electoral vote 14 0 0
Popular vote 459,070 258,572 69,652
Percentage 58.02% 32.68% 8.80%

County results

President before election

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

Elected President

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

The 1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 2, 1948, as part of the 1948 United States presidential election. North Carolina voters chose 14[2] representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

As a former Confederate state, North Carolina had a history of Jim Crow laws, disfranchisement of its African-American population and dominance of the Democratic Party in state politics. However, unlike the Deep South, the Republican Party had sufficient historic Unionist white support from the mountains and northwestern Piedmont to gain one-third of the statewide vote total in most general elections,[3] where turnout was higher than elsewhere in the former Confederacy due substantially to the state’s early abolition of the poll tax in 1920.[4] Like Virginia, Tennessee and Oklahoma, the relative strength of Republican opposition meant that North Carolina did not have statewide white primaries, although certain counties did use the white primary.[5] Consequently, local response to the landmark 1944 court case of Smith v. Allwright was generally calm.[5]

Nevertheless, the state was highly dissatisfied with the influence of blacks and labor unions on the national Democratic Party, and was initially satisfied when liberal Vice-President Henry A. Wallace was replaced on the Democratic ticket in 1944.[6] However, by the beginning of 1946 most white North Carolinians were disapproving of President Truman, primarily because he appointed the first black federal judge and made overtures – though symbolic – toward civil rights.[6] When Truman actually developed a proposal for black civil rights titled To Secure These Rights, however, North Carolina was the only Southern state where there was relatively little overt anger, and the state provided the only three votes from the former Confederacy for Truman as Democratic nominee during the party’s 1948 National Convention. Combined with the persistent local Republican threat from mountain Unionist descendants, this meant that there was never any question of the state Democratic Party supporting South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond.

9% of white voters supported Thurmond.[7]

Polls

Source Ranking As of
Chattanooga Daily Times[8] Likely D October 15, 1948
The Montgomery Advertiser[9] Safe D October 24, 1948
The Miami News[10] Safe D October 25, 1948
The Charlotte Observer[11] Likely D October 27, 1948
Mount Vernon Argus[12] Lean D November 1, 1948
Oakland Tribune[13] Safe D November 1, 1948

Results

1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Harry S. Truman (inc.) 459,070 58.02%
Republican Thomas E. Dewey 258,572 32.68%
States’ Rights Strom Thurmond 69,652 8.80%
Progressive Henry A. Wallace 3,915 0.49%
Total votes 791,209 100%

Results by county

1948 United States presidential election in North Carolina by county[14]
County Harry S. Truman
Democratic
Thomas Edmund Dewey
Republican
James Strom Thurmond
States’ Rights
Henry Agard Wallace
Progressive
Margin
% # % # % # % # % #
Greene 96.45% 2,687 2.33% 65 1.18% 33 0.04% 1 94.11% 2,622
Bertie 95.71% 3,034 2.68% 85 1.48% 47 0.13% 4 93.03% 2,949
Martin 95.53% 4,636 3.36% 163 1.07% 52 0.04% 2 92.17% 4,473
Northampton 92.17% 3,591 4.59% 179 3.05% 119 0.18% 7 87.58% 3,412
Franklin 91.55% 4,538 4.72% 234 3.57% 177 0.16% 8 86.83% 4,304
Pitt 89.47% 8,519 6.32% 602 3.40% 324 0.81% 77 83.14% 7,917
Edgecombe 89.75% 6,410 6.69% 478 3.00% 214 0.56% 40 83.06% 5,932
Hertford 88.80% 2,165 8.04% 196 2.67% 65 0.49% 12 80.76% 1,969
Nash 88.50% 7,590 7.98% 684 3.38% 290 0.14% 12 80.53% 6,906
Lenoir 88.54% 5,445 8.37% 515 2.63% 162 0.46% 28 80.16% 4,930
Jones 88.05% 1,238 8.04% 113 3.70% 52 0.21% 3 80.01% 1,125
Halifax 86.82% 6,172 7.10% 505 5.95% 423 0.13% 9 79.72% 5,667
Onslow 87.34% 3,318 8.32% 316 4.32% 164 0.03% 1 79.02% 3,002
Warren 85.75% 2,376 6.93% 192 7.25% 201 0.07% 2 78.49%[a] 2,175
Gates 86.94% 939 8.24% 89 4.63% 50 0.19% 2 78.70% 850
Granville 85.25% 3,513 8.10% 334 6.16% 254 0.49% 20 77.14% 3,179
Wilson 86.25% 6,008 9.55% 665 3.57% 249 0.63% 44 76.70% 5,343
Chowan 83.99% 1,070 9.73% 124 5.65% 72 0.63% 8 74.25% 946
Currituck 83.63% 1,144 9.50% 130 6.36% 87 0.51% 7 74.12% 1,014
Hoke 80.71% 1,339 8.56% 142 10.61% 176 0.12% 2 70.10%[a] 1,163
Person 82.28% 3,087 12.79% 480 4.80% 180 0.13% 5 69.48% 2,607
Craven 80.26% 5,039 11.87% 745 7.66% 481 0.21% 13 68.40% 4,294
Vance 79.51% 3,679 11.87% 549 8.06% 373 0.56% 26 67.65% 3,130
Perquimans 80.09% 849 12.74% 135 6.98% 74 0.19% 2 67.36% 714
Duplin 81.25% 5,866 14.18% 1,024 4.47% 323 0.10% 7 67.06% 4,842
Robeson 77.26% 7,056 11.34% 1,036 10.79% 985 0.61% 56 65.91% 6,020
Washington 81.43% 1,675 16.19% 333 1.70% 35 0.68% 14 65.24% 1,342
Anson 72.54% 2,692 12.05% 447 15.20% 564 0.22% 8 57.34%[a] 2,128
Beaufort 77.53% 4,675 17.50% 1,055 4.89% 295 0.08% 5 60.03% 3,620
Columbus 74.79% 5,511 15.00% 1,105 10.06% 741 0.16% 12 59.79% 4,406
Bladen 72.33% 2,831 12.77% 500 14.67% 574 0.23% 9 57.66%[a] 2,257
Richmond 71.95% 4,376 14.24% 866 13.58% 826 0.23% 14 57.71% 3,510
Camden 73.94% 576 16.30% 127 9.11% 71 0.64% 5 57.64% 449
Scotland 69.42% 1,957 12.74% 359 17.45% 492 0.39% 11 51.97%[a] 1,465
Hyde 76.05% 800 20.34% 214 3.61% 38 0.00% 0 55.70% 586
Lee 74.38% 3,234 20.03% 871 5.47% 238 0.11% 5 54.35% 2,363
Caswell 68.82% 1,651 14.63% 351 16.22% 389 0.33% 8 52.61%[a] 1,262
Wake[b] 73.45% 17,939 19.86% 4,850 5.90% 1,441 0.79% 193 53.59% 13,089
Wayne 73.20% 6,111 19.86% 1,658 6.62% 553 0.31% 26 53.34% 4,453
Union 66.23% 3,407 14.35% 738 19.23% 989 0.19% 10 47.01%[a] 2,418
Harnett 74.11% 6,608 22.26% 1,985 3.50% 312 0.12% 11 51.85% 4,623
Pender 62.39% 1,334 14.22% 304 21.94% 469 1.45% 31 40.46%[a] 865
Johnston 70.69% 9,188 24.71% 3,211 4.39% 571 0.21% 27 45.99% 5,977
Haywood 71.82% 7,373 26.14% 2,684 1.97% 202 0.07% 7 45.68% 4,689
Rockingham 68.89% 8,553 23.65% 2,936 7.24% 899 0.22% 27 45.24% 5,617
Cleveland 65.21% 6,039 20.57% 1,905 13.77% 1,275 0.45% 42 44.64% 4,134
Pasquotank 67.76% 1,976 24.04% 701 7.72% 225 0.48% 14 43.72% 1,275
Durham[c] 65.45% 11,530 25.72% 4,531 5.61% 989 3.20% 563 39.73% 6,999
Carteret 67.66% 3,491 29.46% 1,520 2.60% 134 0.29% 15 38.20% 1,971
Cumberland 55.13% 4,996 19.21% 1,741 25.26% 2,289 0.40% 36 29.87%[a] 2,707
Tyrrell 65.77% 732 30.19% 336 3.86% 43 0.18% 2 35.58% 396
Dare 66.06% 802 30.72% 373 3.05% 37 0.16% 2 35.34% 429
Pamlico 62.36% 1,370 31.18% 685 6.14% 135 0.32% 7 31.18% 685
Orange 60.29% 3,523 31.03% 1,813 6.20% 362 2.48% 145 29.27% 1,710
Chatham 58.60% 3,396 34.65% 2,008 6.59% 382 0.16% 9 23.95% 1,388
Jackson 59.55% 4,005 37.47% 2,520 2.74% 184 0.24% 16 22.08% 1,485
Alamance 53.88% 8,287 33.32% 5,124 12.61% 1,939 0.20% 30 20.57% 3,163
Yancey 59.69% 3,481 39.13% 2,282 1.13% 66 0.05% 3 20.56% 1,199
New Hanover 47.92% 5,364 28.25% 3,162 23.24% 2,601 0.59% 66 19.67% 2,202
Surry 56.77% 6,956 37.89% 4,643 5.13% 629 0.20% 25 18.88% 2,313
Buncombe 55.34% 17,072 37.15% 11,460 6.94% 2,140 0.58% 179 18.19% 5,612
Swain 56.67% 1,908 41.25% 1,389 1.96% 66 0.12% 4 15.41% 519
McDowell 53.20% 3,805 37.88% 2,709 8.63% 617 0.29% 21 15.32% 1,096
Graham 56.24% 1,527 41.07% 1,115 2.43% 66 0.26% 7 15.17% 412
Gaston[d] 47.27% 8,966 32.58% 6,180 19.80% 3,755 0.35% 67 14.69% 2,786
Stokes 56.15% 4,431 41.71% 3,291 1.96% 155 0.18% 14 14.45% 1,140
Rutherford 51.00% 5,992 36.95% 4,342 11.86% 1,394 0.19% 22 14.04% 1,650
Polk 52.07% 2,078 40.99% 1,636 6.82% 272 0.13% 5 11.07% 442
Iredell 47.47% 5,761 36.59% 4,441 15.76% 1,913 0.17% 21 10.88% 1,320
Moore 51.80% 3,341 42.16% 2,719 5.81% 375 0.23% 15 9.64% 622
Alleghany 51.43% 1,667 42.39% 1,374 5.86% 190 0.31% 10 9.04% 293
Guilford 48.73% 17,224 40.08% 14,167 10.06% 3,557 1.13% 401 8.65% 3,057
Mecklenburg[e] 43.24% 14,353 34.70% 11,518 21.61% 7,172 0.43% 142 8.54% 2,835
Forsyth 49.35% 12,201 41.04% 10,147 6.79% 1,679 2.82% 698 8.31% 2,054
Macon 52.46% 2,785 44.98% 2,388 2.45% 130 0.11% 6 7.48% 397
Rowan 43.30% 6,799 36.44% 5,722 20.04% 3,146 0.22% 35 6.86% 1,077
Cabarrus 39.44% 5,059 33.48% 4,294 26.80% 3,437 0.28% 36 5.96% 765
Montgomery 47.50% 2,165 43.33% 1,975 9.10% 415 0.07% 3 4.17% 190
Ashe 50.76% 4,633 46.74% 4,266 2.39% 218 0.11% 10 4.02% 367
Clay 50.76% 1,307 47.11% 1,213 1.90% 49 0.23% 6 3.65% 94
Brunswick 43.82% 2,052 40.49% 1,896 15.27% 715 0.43% 20 3.33% 156
Cherokee 49.73% 2,771 46.93% 2,615 2.98% 166 0.36% 20 2.80% 156
Transylvania 48.27% 2,975 46.42% 2,861 5.05% 311 0.26% 16 1.85% 114
Caldwell 46.67% 5,033 46.24% 4,987 6.89% 743 0.20% 22 0.43% 46
Sampson 47.07% 4,965 46.76% 4,932 5.75% 607 0.42% 44 0.31% 33
Lincoln 42.71% 3,570 43.49% 3,635 13.58% 1,135 0.22% 18 -0.78% -65
Burke 46.16% 6,226 47.26% 6,374 6.47% 872 0.12% 16 -1.10% -148
Catawba 44.36% 8,844 47.50% 9,471 7.90% 1,576 0.23% 46 -3.14% -627
Davidson 46.15% 7,991 49.32% 8,539 4.33% 750 0.20% 34 -3.17% -548
Alexander 42.65% 2,057 47.98% 2,314 9.10% 439 0.27% 13 -5.33% -257
Watauga 45.66% 3,379 52.04% 3,851 2.14% 158 0.16% 12 -6.38% -472
Randolph 41.88% 6,567 53.39% 8,372 4.62% 724 0.12% 19 -11.51% -1,805
Stanly 37.82% 4,415 50.56% 5,902 11.39% 1,330 0.23% 27 -12.74% -1,487
Madison 42.67% 2,558 55.73% 3,341 1.32% 79 0.28% 17 -13.06% -783
Davie 38.66% 1,917 54.02% 2,679 7.10% 352 0.22% 11 -15.37% -762
Wilkes 40.17% 5,784 57.18% 8,234 2.50% 360 0.15% 22 -17.01% -2,450
Henderson 34.38% 3,311 51.61% 4,971 13.69% 1,319 0.32% 31 -17.23% -1,660
Yadkin 35.10% 2,083 61.19% 3,631 3.51% 208 0.20% 12 -26.09% -1,548
Avery 23.28% 933 74.73% 2,995 1.77% 71 0.22% 9 -51.45% -2,062
Mitchell 21.48% 818 76.35% 2,908 1.97% 75 0.21% 8 -54.87% -2,090

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

North Carolina was won by incumbent President Harry S. Truman (DMissouri), running with Senator Alben W. Barkley, with 58.02 percent of the popular vote, against Governor Thomas E. Dewey (RNew York), running with Governor Earl Warren, with 32.68 percent of the popular vote.[15][16] North Carolina was the worst former Confederate state for Thurmond, and one of only two, the other being Texas, in which he did not win at least one county. Because the Black Belt of the state, unlike the economically conservative Black Belts of the Deep South, was economically more liberal than the Piedmont region where the establishment Democratic faction led since 1929 by O. Max Gardner was based,[17] its entirely white electorate stayed exceedingly loyal to Truman. The greatest support for Thurmond was instead found in middle- and upper-class urban areas of the Piedmont,[18] to such an extent that the best Dixiecrat counties correlated strongly with the largest urban areas.[19]

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Cabarrus County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate[20] This is also the last time a Democratic candidate won North Carolina by at least 15 points.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i In this county where Thurmond ran second ahead of Dewey, margin given is Truman vote minus Thurmond vote and percentage margin Truman percentage minus Thurmond percentage.
  2. ^ In this county there were two write-in votes for national Socialist Party of America candidate Norman Thomas.
  3. ^ In this county there was one write-in vote for national Socialist candidate Norman Thomas and two votes for other write-in candidates.
  4. ^ In this county there was one write-in vote for Socialist candidate Norman Thomas.
  5. ^ In this county there were four write-in votes for national Socialist candidate Norman Thomas and five votes for other write-in candidates.

References

  1. ^ "United States Presidential election of 1948 – Encyclopædia Britannica". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  2. ^ "1948 Election for the Forty-First Term (1949-53)". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  3. ^ Phillips, Kevin P.; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 210, 242 ISBN 978-0-691-16324-6
  4. ^ Key, Valdimer Orlando; Southern Politics in State and Nation, p. 502, Alfred A. Knopf (1949)
  5. ^ a b Klarman, Michael J. (2001). "The White Primary Rulings: A Case Study in the Consequences of Supreme Court Decision-Making". Florida State University Law Review. 29: 55–107.
  6. ^ a b Grayson, A.G. (December 1975). "North Carolina and Harry Truman, 1944-1948". Journal of American Studies. 9 (3): 283–300. doi:10.1017/S0021875800003005.
  7. ^ Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
  8. ^ Gallup, George (October 15, 1948). "Only Four States Go to Dixiecrats". Chattanooga Daily Times. Chattanooga, Tennessee. p. 6-A.
  9. ^ Moss, Charles (October 24, 1948). "Tennessee". The Montgomery Advertiser. Montgomery, Alabama. p. 16.
  10. ^ Ragan, Sam (October 25, 1948). "North Carolina". The Miami News. Miami, Florida. p. 8.
  11. ^ Stokes, Thomas (October 27, 1948). "Washington with Thomas Stokes". The Charlotte Observer. Charlotte, North Carolina. p. 6-A.
  12. ^ Tucker, Ray (November 1, 1948). "Truman Whistling in a White House Graveyard, Says Tucker, Predicting It'll Be a Dewey Sweep". Mount Vernon Argus. Mount Vernon, New York. p. 8.
  13. ^ Gallup, George (November 1, 1948). "Final Gallup Poll Shows Dewey Winning Election with Wide Electoral Vote Margin". Oakland Tribune. Oakland, California. pp. 1–2.
  14. ^ "NC US President Race, November 02, 1948". Our Campaigns.
  15. ^ "1948 Presidential General Election Results – North Carolina". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  16. ^ "The American Presidency Project – Election of 1948". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  17. ^ Key, Southern Politics in State and Nation, pp. 215-217
  18. ^ Phillips; The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 297
  19. ^ See Strong, Donald S. (August 1955). "The Presidential Election in the South, 1952". The Journal of Politics. 17 (3): 343–389. doi:10.1017/S0022381600091064.
  20. ^ Sullivan, Robert David (June 29, 2016). "How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century". The National Catholic Review (America Magazine ed.).

Works cited

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