2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
Turnout	42.25%
	Deal: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Carter: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Hunt: 50–60%; Tie: 40–50% 50% No data
Governor before election; Nathan Deal; Republican	Elected Governor ; Nathan Deal; Republican

The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic state senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor; and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

John Barge, State School Superintendent^[1]
Nathan Deal, incumbent governor
David Pennington, Mayor of Dalton^[2]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal	John Barge	David Pennington	Undecided
InsiderAdvantage^[3]	May 18, 2014	852	±3.36%	62.1%	5.1%	9.9%	22.9%
SurveyUSA^[4]	May 8–12, 2014	634	± 4%	63%	10%	15%	12%
SurveyUSA^[5]	April 24–27, 2014	501	± 4.3%	64%	10%	11%	16%
InsiderAdvantage^[6]	April 13–15, 2014	804	±3.4%	61%	4%	7%	28%
Landmark/Rosetta^[7]	March 23–24, 2014	600	± 4%	58%	8%	7%	27%
SurveyUSA^[8]	March 16–18, 2014	508	± 4.2%	65%	7%	11%	17%
Public Policy Polling^[9]	August 2–5, 2013	260	± 6.1%	71%	8%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling^[9]	August 2–5, 2013	260	± 6.1%	71%	—	11%	19%
20/20 Insight, LLC^[10]	May 7–9, 2013	?	± ?	53%	—	18%	29%

Results

Republican primary results^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Nathan Deal (incumbent)	430,170	72.15
	Republican	David Pennington	99,548	16.70
	Republican	John Barge	66,500	11.15
Total votes			596,218	100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Jason Carter, state senator and grandson of former U.S. president and former governor Jimmy Carter^[12]

Withdrew

Connie Stokes, former DeKalb County Commissioner, former state senator and candidate for GA-04 in 2004 and 2010 (running for Lieutenant Governor)^[13]

Declined

Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives^[14]
Roy Barnes, former governor and nominee for governor in 2010
Shirley Franklin, former mayor of Atlanta^[15]
Scott Holcomb, state representative^[16]^[17]
Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta^[18]

Results

Democratic primary results^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jason Carter	304,243	100
Total votes			304,243	100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer^[19]

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 19, 2014 - C-SPAN
Complete video of debate, October 26, 2014 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[20]	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[21]	Lean R	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[22]	Lean R	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[23]	Tossup	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	Jason Carter (D)	Andrew Hunt (L)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[24]	November 1–3, 2014	975	± 3.1%	47%	43%	4%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling^[24]	November 1–3, 2014	975	± 3.1%	49%	45%	—	—	6%
Landmark Communications^[25]	November 2, 2014	1,500	± 2.5%	51%	45%	3%	—	2%
Insider Advantage^[26]	November 2, 2014	1,463	± 3%	47%	44%	5%	—	4%
SurveyUSA^[27]	October 30 – November 2, 2014	591	± 4.1%	47%	42%	5%	—	5%
YouGov^[28]	October 25–31, 2014	1,743	± 3.2%	45%	41%	1%	1%	12%
NBC News/Marist^[29]	October 26–30, 2014	603 LV	± 4%	48%	43%	3%	1%	5%
NBC News/Marist^[29]	October 26–30, 2014	875 RV	± 3.3%	46%	42%	4%	1%	7%
Landmark Communications^[30]	October 29, 2014	1,500	± 2.5%	48%	46%	4%	—	3%
Vox Populi Polling^[31]	October 28, 2014	602	± 4%	49%	42%	3%	—	7%
Monmouth^[32]	October 26–28, 2014	436	± 4.7%	48%	42%	5%	—	5%
Rasmussen Reports^[33]	October 25–27, 2014	977	± 3%	49%	43%	—	2%	6%
SurveyUSA^[34]	October 24–27, 2014	611	± 4%	46%	44%	3%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling^[35]	October 23–24, 2014	771	± ?%	48%	45%	4%	—	3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov^[36]	October 16–23, 2014	1,774	± 4%	47%	43%	2%	0%	8%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[37]	October 16–23, 2014	1,170	± 3.6%	46%	41%	6%	—	7%
Insider Advantage^[38]	October 21–22, 2014	704	± 3.7%	44%	44%	5%	—	8%
CNN/ORC International^[39]	October 19–22, 2014	565	± 4%	46%	48%	6%	—	—
Landmark Communications^[40]	October 20–21, 2014	1,000	± 2.75%	48%	45%	5%	—	2%
SurveyUSA^[41]	October 17–20, 2014	606	± 4.1%	45%	43%	4%	—	8%
GaPundit.com^[42]	October 13–14, 2014	1,543	± 2.49%	44%	44%	6%	—	5%
SurveyUSA^[43]	October 10–13, 2014	563	± 4.2%	46%	46%	4%	—	4%
Landmark Communications^[44]	October 7–9, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	45%	45%	5%	—	5%
SurveyUSA^[45]	October 2–6, 2014	566	± 4.2%	46%	44%	4%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling^[46]	October 2–5, 2014	895	± 3.3%	46%	41%	4%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling^[46]	October 2–5, 2014	895	± 3.3%	50%	45%	—	—	5%
Hickman Analytics^[47]	September 26 – October 5, 2014	500	± 4.4%	44%	36%	9%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports^[33]	September 30 – October 1, 2014	1,000	± 4%	49%	43%	—	2%	6%
Insider Advantage^[48]	September 29 – October 1, 2014	947	± 3.2%	44%	43%	4%	—	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov^[49]	September 20 – October 1, 2014	1,851	± 3%	48%	43%	1%	0%	7%
SurveyUSA^[50]	September 19–22, 2014	550	± 4.3%	44%	45%	4%	—	7%
Rasmussen Reports^[33]	September 15–16, 2014	750	± 4%	45%	44%	—	3%	8%
Insider Advantage^[51]	September 10–11, 2014	1,167	± 2.9%	44%	40%	7%	—	9%
Landmark Communications^[52]	September 9–11, 2014	1,109	± 2.9%	44%	47%	4%	—	5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[53]	September 8–11, 2014	884	± 4%	43%	42%	7%	—	8%
SurveyUSA^[54]	September 5–8, 2014	558	± 4.2%	45%	44%	4%	—	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov^[55]	August 18 – September 2, 2014	1,900	± 3%	47%	39%	4%	1%	9%
GaPundit.com^[56]	August 24–25, 2014	1,578	± 2.47%	44%	42%	7%	—	8%
Landmark Communications^[57]	August 20–21, 2014	600	± 4%	40%	44%	—	—	16%
SurveyUSA^[58]	August 14–17, 2014	560	± 4.2%	48%	39%	4%	—	8%
InsiderAdvantage^[59]	August 12–13, 2014	719	± 3.7%	43%	39%	7%	—	11%
Hicks Evaluation Group^[60]	August 8–10, 2014	788	± 3.48%	45%	45%	—	—	9%
Landmark Communications^[61]	July 25, 2014	750	± 3.8%	40%	47%	5%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports^[33]	July 23–24, 2014	750	± 4%	44%	45%	—	3%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov^[62]	July 5–24, 2014	2,568	± 3.4%	50%	41%	—	1%	8%
Landmark Communications^[63]	July 15, 2014	750	± 4	41%	49%	4%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling^[64]	July 11–13, 2014	664	± ?	41%	40%	8%	—	11%
Insider Advantage^[65]	June 24–25, 2014	1,349	± 2.7%	47%	40%	—	3%	10%
SurveyUSA^[66]	June 3–5, 2014	999	± 3.2%	44%	38%	7%	—	11%
Rasmussen Reports^[33]	May 21–22, 2014	750	± 4%	41%	48%	—	3%	7%
Public Policy Polling^[67]	May 21–22, 2014	803	± ?%	43%	43%	7%	—	7%
SurveyUSA^[4]	May 8–12, 2014	1,380	± 2.7%	43%	37%	7%	—	14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[68]	May 5–8, 2014	1,012	± 4%	48%	44%	—	—	8%
Saint Leo^[69]	May 5–6, 2014	1,000	± 3%	38%	35%	11%	—	16%
NBC News/Marist^[70]	April 30 – May 5, 2014	2,196	± 2.1%	50%	40%	—	1%	10%
SurveyUSA^[5]	April 24–27, 2014	1,567	± 2.5%	41%	37%	9%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling^[71]	April 1–3, 2014	628	± 4%	42%	43%	—	—	15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone^[72]	March 30, 2014	575	± 4%	43%	39%	—	—	18%
Insider Advantage^[73]	March 13, 2014	486	± 4.3%	38%	41%	—	—	21%
Public Policy Polling^[74]	February 19–20, 2014	833	± 4%	45%	42%	—	—	12%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[75]	January 6–9, 2014	802	± 4%	47%	38%	—	—	15%
Insider Advantage^[76]	January 6, 2014	529	± 4.6%	44%	22%	—	—	34%
Anzalone Liszt Grove^[77]	October 14–20, 2013	600	± 4%	44%	36%	—	—	20%
Public Policy Polling^[78]	October 7–8, 2013	602	± 4.1%	44%	40%	—	—	16%
Public Policy Polling^[9]	August 2–5, 2013	520	± 4.3%	48%	33%	—	—	19%
20/20 Insight, LLC^[10]	May 7–9, 2013	1,483	± 2.5%	42%	45%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling^[79]	February 15–18, 2013	602	± 4%	46%	38%	—	—	16%
Public Policy Polling^[80]	November 30–December 2, 2012	729	± 3.6%	46%	38%	—	—	17%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	Stacey Abrams (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[9]	August 2–5, 2013	520	± 4.3%	47%	34%	19%
20/20 Insight, LLC^[10]	May 7–9, 2013	1,483	± 2.5%	45%	39%	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	John Barrow (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[79]	February 15–18, 2013	602	± 4%	48%	38%	14%
Public Policy Polling^[80]	November 30 – December 2, 2012	729	± 3.6%	44%	40%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	Scott Holcomb (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[9]	August 2–5, 2013	520	± 4.3%	48%	28%	24%
20/20 Insight, LLC^[10]	May 7–9, 2013	1,483	± 2.5%	41%	41%	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	Kasim Reed (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[79]	February 15–18, 2013	602	± 4%	48%	38%	14%
Public Policy Polling^[80]	November 30 – December 2, 2012	729	± 3.6%	47%	40%	13%

Hypothetical runoff polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nathan Deal (R)	Jason Carter (D)	Other	Undecided
NBC News/Marist^[29]	October 26–30, 2014	603 LV	± 4%	50%	46%	<1%	4%
NBC News/Marist^[29]	October 26–30, 2014	875 RV	± 3.3%	48%	45%	1%	6%

Results

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election^[81]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Nathan Deal (incumbent)	1,345,237	52.74%	−0.28%
	Democratic	Jason Carter	1,144,794	44.88%	+1.91%
	Libertarian	Andrew Hunt	60,185	2.36%	−1.65%
	Write-in		432	0.02%	+0.02%
Total votes			2,550,648	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Douglas (largest town: Douglasville)
Henry (largest city: Stockbridge)
Newton (largest town: Covington)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Baker (largest city: Newton)
Brooks (largest city: Quitman)
Clinch (Largest city: Homerville)
Early (largest city: Blakely)
McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien)
Mitchell (largest municipality: Camilla)
Peach (largest municipality: Fort Valley)
Webster (largest town: Preston)

References

^ Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal. Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
^ Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
^ InsiderAdvantage
^ ^a ^b SurveyUSA
^ ^a ^b SurveyUSA
^ InsiderAdvantage
^ Landmark/Rosetta Archived March 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ SurveyUSA
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d 20/20 Insight, LLC
^ ^a ^b "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS General Primary/General Nonpartisan/Special Election May 20, 2014". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
^ Christina A. Cassidy (November 7, 2013). "Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor". The Huffington Post. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
^ Cassidy, Christina A. (November 7, 2013). "Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor". ABC News. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
^ "Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
^ Hula, Ed (August 14, 2013). "Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?". Peach Pundit. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2013.
^ Mimms, Sarah (May 1, 2013). "Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
^ Holcomb, Scott (November 7, 2013). "I just donated – you should too..." Twitter. Retrieved December 16, 2013.
^ "Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election". CBS Atlanta. August 26, 2013. Archived from the original on August 26, 2013. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
^ "Dr. Andrew Hunt". Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 December 2014.
^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Landmark Communications
^ Insider Advantage
^ SurveyUSA
^ YouGov
^ ^a ^b NBC News/Marist
^ Landmark Communications ^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Vox Populi Polling
^ Monmouth
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Rasmussen Reports
^ SurveyUSA
^ Public Policy Polling
^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
^ Insider Advantage
^ CNN/ORC International
^ Landmark Communications
^ SurveyUSA
^ GaPundit.com Archived October 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ SurveyUSA
^ Landmark Communications Archived October 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ SurveyUSA
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Hickman Analytics
^ Insider Advantage
^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
^ SurveyUSA ^{[dead link‍]}
^ Insider Advantage
^ Landmark Communications
^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution Archived September 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ SurveyUSA ^{[dead link‍]}
^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
^ GaPundit.com Archived September 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ Landmark Communications Archived August 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ SurveyUSA
^ InsiderAdvantage
^ Hicks Evaluation Group
^ Landmark Communications
^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
^ Landmark Communications Archived July 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Insider Advantage
^ SurveyUSA
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
^ Saint Leo
^ NBC News/Marist
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Landmark/Rosetta Stone Archived April 8, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
^ Insider Advantage
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
^ Insider Advantage
^ Anzalone Liszt Grove
^ Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c Public Policy Polling
^ "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.

External links

Georgia gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites (Archived)

[1] Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal. Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.

[2] Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.

[3] InsiderAdvantage

[SurveyUSA-4] SurveyUSA

[surveyusa.com-5] SurveyUSA

[6] InsiderAdvantage

[7] Landmark/Rosetta Archived March 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[8] SurveyUSA

[Public_Policy_Polling-9] Public Policy Polling

[20/20_Insight,_LLC-10] 20/20 Insight, LLC

[Results-11] "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS General Primary/General Nonpartisan/Special Election May 20, 2014". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2014.

[12] Christina A. Cassidy (November 7, 2013). "Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor". The Huffington Post. Retrieved November 7, 2013.

[Carter_running-13] Cassidy, Christina A. (November 7, 2013). "Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor". ABC News. Retrieved November 7, 2013.

[14] "Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.

[15] Hula, Ed (August 14, 2013). "Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?". Peach Pundit. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2013.

[16] Mimms, Sarah (May 1, 2013). "Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.

[17] Holcomb, Scott (November 7, 2013). "I just donated – you should too..." Twitter. Retrieved December 16, 2013.

[18] "Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election". CBS Atlanta. August 26, 2013. Archived from the original on August 26, 2013. Retrieved August 27, 2013.

[19] "Dr. Andrew Hunt". Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 December 2014.

[20] "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.

[21] "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.

[22] "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.

[23] "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.

[24] Public Policy Polling

[25] Landmark Communications

[26] Insider Advantage

[27] SurveyUSA

[28] YouGov

[NBC_News/Marist-29] NBC News/Marist

[30] Landmark Communications ^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[31] Vox Populi Polling

[32] Monmouth

[Rasmussen_Reports-33] Rasmussen Reports

[34] SurveyUSA

[35] Public Policy Polling

[36] CBS News/NYT/YouGov

[37] Atlanta Journal-Constitution

[38] Insider Advantage

[39] CNN/ORC International

[40] Landmark Communications

[41] SurveyUSA

[42] GaPundit.com Archived October 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[43] SurveyUSA

[44] Landmark Communications Archived October 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[45] SurveyUSA

[46] Public Policy Polling

[47] Hickman Analytics

[48] Insider Advantage

[49] CBS News/NYT/YouGov

[50] SurveyUSA ^{[dead link‍]}

[51] Insider Advantage

[52] Landmark Communications

[53] Atlanta Journal-Constitution Archived September 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[54] SurveyUSA ^{[dead link‍]}

[55] CBS News/NYT/YouGov

[56] GaPundit.com Archived September 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[57] Landmark Communications Archived August 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[58] SurveyUSA

[59] InsiderAdvantage

[60] Hicks Evaluation Group

[61] Landmark Communications

[62] CBS News/NYT/YouGov

[63] Landmark Communications Archived July 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[64] Public Policy Polling

[65] Insider Advantage

[66] SurveyUSA

[67] Public Policy Polling

[68] Atlanta Journal-Constitution

[69] Saint Leo

[70] NBC News/Marist

[71] Public Policy Polling

[72] Landmark/Rosetta Stone Archived April 8, 2014, at the Wayback Machine

[73] Insider Advantage

[74] Public Policy Polling

[75] Atlanta Journal-Constitution

[76] Insider Advantage

[77] Anzalone Liszt Grove

[78] Public Policy Polling

[publicpolicypolling.com-79] Public Policy Polling

[ReferenceA-80] Public Policy Polling

[81] "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.

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2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

External links

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