2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district
	Welch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90%; Berry: 40–50% 50–60%; Tie: 40–50% No votes
U.S. Representative before election; Peter Welch; Democratic	Elected U.S. Representative ; Peter Welch; Democratic

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

Ralph Corbo, activist^[1]

Results

Democratic primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Peter Welch (incumbent)	101,566	95.45
	Democratic	Ralph Corbo	4,599	4.32
	Write-in		237	0.22
Total votes			106,402	100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer^[3]

Eliminated in primary

Jimmy Rodriguez, activist^[3]
Justin Tuthill, consultant^[3]
Anya Tynio, sales representative for Newport Daily Express and nominee for this district in 2018^[3]

Results

Republican primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Miriam Berry	14,368	32.51
	Republican	Justin Tuthill	10,915	24.70
	Republican	Anya Tynio	8,830	19.98
	Republican	Jimmy Rodriguez	8,290	18.76
	Write-in		1,789	4.05
Total votes			44,192	100.00

Progressive primary

Candidates

Nominee

John Christopher Brimmer, secretary of the Progressive State Committee, chair of Caledonia County Progressive Committee, Zoning & Planning Administrator of Fairlee (ran to secure Progressive nomination, dropped out before general election)^[4]

Eliminated in primary

Cris Ericson, perennial candidate^[4]

Results

Progressive primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Progressive	Chris Brimmer	469	58.04
	Progressive	Cris Ericson	236	29.21
	Write-in		103	12.75
Total votes			808	100.00

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

Peter R. Becker
Christopher Helali (Party of Communists USA), former U.S. Army officer, chair of the Orange County Progressive Committee, and organic farmer^[5]
Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for the Essex-Orleans district in 2014 and 2016^[6]
Shawn Orr
Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, and perennial candidate^[7]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[8]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections^[9]	Safe D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[10]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Politico^[11]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[12]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
RCP^[13]	Safe D	November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Peter Welch (D)	Miriam Berry (R)	Other
Braun Research^[14]	September 3–15, 2020	582 (LV)	± 4%	57%	18%	16%^[b]

Results

2020 Vermont's at-large congressional district^[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Peter Welch (incumbent)	238,827	67.31%	−1.89%
	Republican	Miriam Berry	95,830	27.01%	+1.06%
	Independent	Peter R. Becker	8,065	2.27%	N/A
	Independent	Marcia Horne	4,334	1.22%	N/A
	Party of Communists USA	Christopher Helali	3,432	0.97%	N/A
	Independent	Shawn Orr	1,926	0.54%	N/A
	Independent	Jerry Trudell	1,881	0.53%	N/A
	Write-in		542	0.15%	+0.08%
Total votes			354,837	100.0%
	Democratic hold

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ "Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

References

^ Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Vermont Election Results – Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
^ ^a ^b Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
^ Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 12, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ Braun Research
^ "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Vermont", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Vermont: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Vermont". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Vermont at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Miriam Berry (R) for Congress Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Christopher Helali (Com) for Congress
Jerry Trudell (I) for Congress Archived November 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Peter Welch (D) for Congress Archived May 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Debates and forums

[AKkey-14] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[16] "Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

[1] Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

[VTsosr-2] "Vermont Election Results – Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

[VTAL-3] "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

[VTprog-4] Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

[5] Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.

[6] "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.

[7] "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 12, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.

[CookPolitical-8] "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[InsideElections-9] "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[Sabato-10] "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[Politico-11] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.

[DailyKos-12] "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[RCP-13] "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[15] Braun Research

[17] "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.

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2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Progressive primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

See also

Notes

References

External links