2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
The 2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire , concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections . Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen won reelection to a third term after comfortably defeating Republican nominee Bryant Messner by 15.6 points and sweeping every single county in the state. This marked the first Senate election since 1972 in which the Democrat carried Belknap County .
Shaheen's final margin outperformed Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election by around 8 percentage points.
The primary election was held on September 8, 2020.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Tom Alciere, former Republican state representative[ 2]
Paul J. Krautmann, former dentist[ 2]
Endorsements
Jeanne Shaheen
Federal officials
Local officials
Jim Bouley, Concord Mayor[ 6]
Joyce Craig, Manchester Mayor[ 6]
Jim Donchess, Nashua Mayor[ 6]
Andrew Hosmer, Laconia Mayor[ 6]
Organizations
Results
Results by county: Shaheen—≥90%
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Bryant Messner, corporate attorney and former U.S. Army soldier[ 24] [ 25]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined
Kelly Ayotte , former U.S. senator and former attorney general of New Hampshire [ 29] [ 30]
Al Baldasaro , state representative[ 31] (endorsed Bill O'Brien)[ 32]
Scott Brown , U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa , former U.S. senator from Massachusetts, 2014 Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire[ 31]
Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton , former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018[ 33] (accepted executive state appointment )[ 34]
Corey Lewandowski , President Donald Trump 's former campaign manager[ 35]
Jay Lucas, businessman[ 36]
Chris Sununu , incumbent governor of New Hampshire (running for re-election )[ 37]
Endorsements
Don Bolduc
Federal officials
Tom Cotton , U.S. senator from Arkansas and former U.S. Representative (AR-04) (2013–2015)[ 38]
Bob Smith , former U.S. senator from New Hampshire (1990–2003) and U.S. Representative (NH-01) (1985–1990)[ 39]
Michael Waltz , U.S. representative (FL-06)[ 40]
Thomas E. White , former U.S. Secretary of the Army (2001–2004)[ 40]
State officials
Kevin Avard , former state senator (2014–2018) and state representative (2010–2012)[ 40]
Jim Coburn , former state representative (2004–2006) and Republican nominee in the 2006 New Hampshire gubernatorial election [ 40]
Susan DeLemus, former state representative (2010–2012, 2014–2016)[ 40]
Shaun Doherty, former state representative (2008–2012)[ 40]
William Fowler, state representative[ 40]
Bob Giuda , state senator and former state representative (2001–2007) and state House deputy majority leader (2003–2004)[ 40]
Gary Hopper, state representative[ 40]
Joseph Kenney , former executive councilor (2014–2019) and state senator (2003–2009)[ 41]
Gary Lambert , former state senator (2010–2012)[ 40]
Tim Merlino, state representative[ 40]
Michael Moffett, former state representative (2016–2018)[ 40]
Reed Panasiti, state representative[ 40]
Terry Roy, state representative[ 40]
Doug Scamman , former state representative (2004–2010) and state House speaker[ 40]
David Testerman, state representative[ 40]
Joshua Whitehouse , former state representative (2014–2016)[ 40]
Raymond Wieczorek , former executive councilor (2002–2012) and mayor of Manchester (1990–2000)[ 40]
Organizations
Individuals
Corky Messner
Federal officials
State officials
Dennis Acton, state representative[ 46]
Joe Alexander, state representative[ 47]
Alan Bershtein, state representative[ 46]
Regina Birdsell , state senator and former state representative (2010–2014)[citation needed ]
Tom Dolan, state representative[ 47]
Fred Doucette , state representative[ 48]
Jess Edwards, state representative[ 49]
Aboul Khan, state representative[ 46]
Tony Lekas, state representative[ 47]
Norman Major , state representative[ 46]
Charles McMahon, state representative[ 47]
Chuck Morse , state senator, state Senate minority leader, and former state Senate president (2013–2018) and acting Governor (2017)[ 50]
Bill O'Brien , Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire and former state representative (2004–2006, 2008–2016) and state House speaker (2010–2012)[ 51]
Mark Pearson, state representative[ 47]
Stephen Pearson, state representative[ 47]
Kim Rice, state representative[ 52]
Steve Schmidt, former state representative (2010–2018)[ 52]
Thomas Walsh, state representative[ 52]
Kenneth Weyler , state representative[ 52]
Michael Yakubovich, state representative[ 46]
Organizations
Individuals
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Don Bolduc
Corey Lewandowski
Corky Messner
Bill O'Brien
Other
Undecided
University of New Hampshire [ 55]
August 28 – September 1, 2020
703 (LV)
± 3.7%
31%
–
52%
–
0%[ b]
17%
Saint Anselm College [ 56]
August 15–17, 2020
475 (RV)
± 4.5%
29%
–
31%
–
4%[ c]
37%
The Tarrance Group [ 57] [ A]
July 12–14, 2020
401 (LV)
± 5%
27%
–
39%
–
–
–
Remington Research Group [ 58] [ B]
June 21–23, 2020
800 (LV)
–
8%
–
17%
–
–
73%
April 2, 2020
O'Brien withdraws from the race
December 31, 2019
Lewandowski announces he will not run
Emerson College [ 59]
September 6–9, 2019
379 (RV)
± 5.0%
9%
29%
4%
7%
–
56%
Vote Adjustments /WMUR [ 60]
September 5–6, 2019
402 (LV)
± 4.2%
9%
29%
2%
6%
–
49%
September 4, 2019
Messner announces his candidacy
Remington Research (R) [ 61] [ B]
August 12–14, 2019
200 (RV)
–
21%
21%
2%
8%
–
47%
Fabrizio (R) [ 62] [ C]
August 11–12, 2019
400 (LV)
–
11%
30%
–
10%
–
–
Results
Results by county: Messner—50–60%
Messner—40–50%
Bolduc—40–50%
Bolduc—50–60%
Other candidates
Justin O'Donnell, the Libertarian nominee
Libertarian Party
Nominee
Bull Moose Party
Did not qualify
Thomas Sharpe V, firefighter and U.S. Navy veteran[ 2] [ 64]
General election
Debate
Predictions
Endorsements
Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Federal officials
Local officials
Unions
Organizations
Corky Messner (R)
Federal officials
State officials
Dennis Acton, state representative[ 46]
Joe Alexander, state representative[ 47]
Alan Bershtein, state representative[ 46]
Regina Birdsell , state senator and former state representative (2010–2014)[citation needed ]
Tom Dolan, state representative[ 47]
Fred Doucette , state representative[ 48]
Jess Edwards, state representative[ 49]
Aboul Khan, state representative[ 46]
Tony Lekas, state representative[ 47]
Norman Major , state representative[ 46]
Charles McMahon, state representative[ 47]
Chuck Morse , state senator, state Senate minority leader, and former state Senate president (2013–2018) and acting Governor (2017)[ 50]
Bill O'Brien , Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire and former state representative (2004–2006, 2008–2016) and state House speaker (2010–2012)[ 51]
Mark Pearson, state representative[ 47]
Stephen Pearson, state representative[ 47]
Kim Rice, state representative[ 52]
Steve Schmidt, former state representative (2010–2018)[ 52]
Thomas Walsh, state representative[ 52]
Kenneth Weyler , state representative[ 52]
Michael Yakubovich, state representative[ 46]
Organizations
Individuals
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Corky Messner (R)
Other / Undecided
American Research Group [ 79]
October 26–28, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
57%
40%
3%[ d]
University of New Hampshire [ 80]
October 24–28, 2020
864 (LV)
± 3.3%
54%
43%
2%[ e]
Saint Anselm College [ 81]
October 23–26, 2020
1,018 (LV)
± 3.1%
54%
39%
8%[ f]
YouGov /UMass Lowell [ 82]
October 16–26, 2020
757 (LV)
± 4.5%
57%
38%
5%[ g]
University of New Hampshire [ 83]
October 9–12, 2020
899 (LV)
± 3.3%
55%
40%
6%[ h]
Suffolk University [ 84]
October 8–12, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
36%
13%[ i]
Saint Anselm College [ 85]
October 1–4, 2020
1,147 (LV)
± 2.9%
53%
38%
8%[ j]
Emerson College [ 86]
September 30 – October 1, 2020
700 (LV)
± 3.6%
55%
40%
5%[ k]
American Research Group [ 79]
September 25–28, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
56%
40%
4%[ l]
University of New Hampshire [ 87]
September 24–28, 2020
972 (LV)
± 3.1%
54%
41%
5%[ m]
YouGov /UMass Lowell [ 88]
September 17–25, 2020
657 (LV)
± 4.6%
56%
37%
7%[ n]
University of New Hampshire [ 55]
August 28 – September 1, 2020
1,889 (LV)
± 2.3%
54%
36%
9%[ o]
University of New Hampshire [ 89]
July 16–28, 2020
1,893 (LV)
± 2.2%
54%
35%
12%[ p]
University of New Hampshire [ 89]
June 18–22, 2020
932 (LV)
± 2.8%
50%
37%
13%[ q]
University of New Hampshire [ 89]
May 14–18, 2020
788 (LV)
± 3.2%
52%
34%
14%[ r]
University of New Hampshire [ 90]
February 19–25, 2020
576 (RV)
± 4.1%
52%
28%
21%[ s]
Hypothetical polling
with Don Bolduc
with Corey Lewandowski
with Bill O'Brien
with Chris Sununu
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Undecided
Emerson College [ 92]
February 21–22, 2019
910 (RV)
± 3.2%
44%
44%
12%
YouGov /UMass Amherst [ 93]
February 7–15, 2019
600 (RV)
± 4.8%
45%
42%
10%
with Kelly Ayotte
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Undecided
YouGov /UMass Amherst [ 93]
February 7–15, 2019
600 (RV)
± 4.8%
41%
36%
20%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Results
By county
By county
County
Jeanne Shaheen Democratic
Bryant MessnerRepublican
Justin O'DonnellLibertarian
Write-in
Margin
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Belknap
18,704
49.15
18,536
48.71
765
2.01
46
0.12
168
0.44
38,051
Carroll
17,670
53.61
14,694
44.58
578
1.75
16
0.05
2,976
9.03
32,958
Cheshire
26,750
63.03
15,690
36.97
1,122
2.64
33
0.08
11,060
26.06
42,440
Coös
8,752
53.57
7,222
44.21
362
2.22
0
0.00
1,530
9.37
16,336
Grafton
34,043
63.77
18,092
33.89
1,212
2.27
39
0.07
15,951
29.88
53,386
Hillsborough
129,100
56.50
93,607
40.97
5,630
2.46
137
0.06
35,493
15.53
228,474
Merrimack
52,343
58.74
34,687
38.92
2,031
2.28
52
0.06
17,656
19.81
89,113
Rockingham
105,818
53.72
86,937
44.14
4,112
2.09
94
0.05
18,881
9.59
196,961
Strafford
44,415
60.94
26,465
36.31
1,947
2.67
61
0.08
17,950
24.63
72,888
Sullivan
13,183
54.58
10,299
42.64
662
2.75
8
0.03
2,884
11.94
24,152
Totals
450,778
56.64
326,229
40.99
18,421
2.31
486
0.06
124,549
15.65
795,914
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Shaheen won both congressional districts.[ 97]
See also
Notes
Partisan clients
^ Poll conducted for Corky Messner.
^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Don Bolduc
^ Poll sponsored by Lewandowski
Voter samples
^ a b c d e f g h Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ "Some other candidate" with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 4%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Other" and Undecided with 0%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
^ O'Donnell (L) and "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 8%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 3%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 3%; Undecided with 6%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 13%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 13%
^ "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 17%
^ O'Donnell (L) with 4%; Undecided with 6%
^ a b "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 10%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 10%
^ "Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 17%
^ Undecided with 11%
References
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^ a b c d e Schinella, Tony (August 25, 2020). "NH Senate Candidate Accused Of Domestic Incident In Colorado: Doc" . Patch . Retrieved August 28, 2020 .
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^ a b "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World" . Council for a Livable World .
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^ Steinhauser, Paul (September 4, 2019). "Messner becomes the third Republican to launch a 2020 Senate campaign" . Concord Monitor . Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
^ DiStaso, John (June 24, 2019). "Bolduc launches bid for US Senate in video, calling for 'change, big-time' " . WMUR. Retrieved June 24, 2019 .
^ McDonald, Steve (May 3, 2019). "Andy Martin 2020 for US Senate Uses Jeanne Shaheen to Attack the NHGOP" . Retrieved May 15, 2020 .
^ DiStaso, John (April 2, 2020). "Bill O'Brien ends US Senate campaign, endorses fellow Republican Corky Messner" . WMUR .
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^ DiStaso, John (October 11, 2018). "NH Primary Source: Looking to 2020, key Republicans wishing for, hoping for, encouraging Ayotte" . WMUR Manchester .
^ a b Steinhauser, Paul (December 25, 2018). "As Shaheen prepares for another run, which Republican would challenge her?" . Concord Monitor . Retrieved December 27, 2018 .
^ O'Brien, Bill [@OBrienForNH] (July 24, 2019). "Republican Floor Leader in the New Hampshire House, Trump 2016 Veterans Coalition campaign leader, and a man who served our nation in the US Marine Corps for more than two decades, Representative Al Baldasaro to introduce and endorse Bill O'Brien #nhpolitics" (Tweet ). Retrieved July 31, 2019 – via Twitter .
^ DiStaso, John (March 14, 2019). "NH Primary Source: PAC to recruit Eddie Edwards to run for a 'federal office' in 2020 to launch soon" . WMUR. Retrieved March 14, 2019 .
^ Leader, Kevin Landrigan New Hampshire Union (April 7, 2020). "Sununu seeks vote to install ex-liquor law chief as state licensing executive" . UnionLeader.com .
^ Kelly, Caroline (December 31, 2019). "Corey Lewandowski drops potential Senate run in New Hampshire" . CNN . Retrieved December 31, 2019 .
^ DiStaso, John (November 29, 2018). "NH Primary Source: Lucas flattered by recruitment efforts, but focused on Newport revitalization" . WMUR. Retrieved December 4, 2018 .
^ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (May 14, 2019). "BREAKING: .@GovChrisSununu announces he's seeking a third term as #nhgov – #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet ). Retrieved May 14, 2019 – via Twitter .
^ DiStaso, John (January 27, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Republican Bolduc endorsed in US Senate run by Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas" . wmur.com . Retrieved May 25, 2020 .
^ Leader, Josie Albertson-Grove New Hampshire Union (May 2020). "Former senator Smith endorses Bolduc, calls Messner an 'interloper' " . UnionLeader.com .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Endorsements" . June 17, 2020. Archived from the original on July 14, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020 .
^ DiStaso, John (July 25, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Former Executive Councilor Joe Kenney endorses Bolduc for US Senate" . WMUR Manchester . Retrieved July 31, 2019 .
^ "Support General Don Bolduc" . Senate Conservatives Fund . July 25, 2019. Retrieved July 31, 2019 .
^ DiStaso, John (June 5, 2020). "Donald Bolduc endorsed by Jeb Bush in bid for US Senate" . WMUR .
^ a b Staff, Sentinel (June 8, 2020). "Rand Paul endorses Corky Messner for U.S. Senate" . SentinelSource.com .
^ a b "President Donald Trump Endorses Corky Messner's U.S. Senate Run" . Corky Messner for Senate . Archived from the original on September 5, 2019. Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j "State Senator Birdsell Endorses Messner for U.S. Senate" . Corky Messner for Senate . Archived from the original on September 5, 2019. Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
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^ a b "Letter: Messner gives N.H. Republicans a passionate candidate to run against Shaheen" . Eagle-Tribune . July 4, 2020.
^ a b c d "Messner Campaign Announces Veterans Coalition Advised by Retired 4-Star General Campbell and Lt. General Halverson and Led by State Rep. and Veterans Advocate Jess Edwards" . Corky Messner for Senate . Archived from the original on September 5, 2019. Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
^ a b "Former N.H. Senate President and Current Republican Leader Chuck Morse Endorses U.S. Senate Candidate Corky Messner" . Corky Messner for Senate . Archived from the original on September 5, 2019. Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
^ a b DiStaso, John (April 2, 2020). "Bill O'Brien ends US Senate campaign, endorses fellow Republican Corky Messner" . WMUR .
^ a b c d e f g h "State Rep. Kim Rice, Major GOP Activist Mark Vincent, and 16-Term Rep. Ken Weyler Among Latest Messner Endorsers" . Corky Messner for Senate . Archived from the original on September 5, 2019. Retrieved September 5, 2019 .
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^ a b "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Corky Messner for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire | Tea Party Express" . May 7, 2020.
^ a b c University of New Hampshire
^ a b Saint Anselm College
^ The Tarrance Group
^ Remington Research Group
^ a b c Emerson College
^ Vote Adjustments/WMUR
^ a b c Remington Research (R)
^ Fabrizio (R)
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^ a b "NH-SOS - 2020 Election Information" . sos.nh.gov .
^ a b YouTube
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^ a b c d American Research Group
^ University of New Hampshire
^ Saint Anselm College
^ YouGov/UMass Lowell
^ University of New Hampshire
^ Suffolk University
^ Saint Anselm College
^ Emerson College
^ University of New Hampshire
^ YouGov/UMass Lowell
^ a b c d e f University of New Hampshire
^ a b c University of New Hampshire
^ a b Gravis Marketing
^ Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
^ a b YouGov/UMass Amherst
^ Saint Anselm College
^ Saint Anselm College
^ "General Election Results - 2020" . New Hampshire Department of State . Retrieved November 22, 2020 .
^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts" . Daily Kos . Retrieved August 11, 2020 .
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